Index measures for oak decline severity using phenotypic descriptors

Type Article
Original languageEnglish
Article number118948
JournalForest Ecology and Management
Volume485
Early online date06 Feb 2021
DOI
Publication statusE-pub ahead of print - 06 Feb 2021
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Abstract

Oak decline syndromes such as Acute Oak Decline (AOD) and Chronic Oak Decline (COD) are becoming increasingly prevalent and with this comes the need for more quantitative, sensitive and standardised visual oak health monitoring. Phenotyping protocols were developed to specifically measure oak decline severity and were based on a comprehensive set of simple to measure phenotypic descriptors. A total of 36 phenotypic measurements describing oak decline status included aspects of tree size, crown condition, the presence of biotic agents and a number of derived composite descriptors. Phenotypic measurements were collected from a total of 174 Quercus robur, surveyed from 9 sites across England and included healthy, AOD, COD and AOD trees in remission. Using these data, the Phenotypic Decline Index (PDI) and the Decline Acuteness Index (DAI) were developed to quantitatively describe and differentiate the acute and chronic oak decline severity spectrum. These decline indexes were derived from unsupervised random forest machine learning models, trained using the collected phenotypic data. The suitability of the decline indexes for describing decline severity and type were assessed by comparing decline index scores to manual decline status classifications along with an assessment of descriptor importance and contribution to the decline index models. Crown condition and trees size descriptors such as ‘composite crown volume’ contributed positively to the PDI. Trees with smaller crowns in poor condition had greater PDI values. Tree stature and the presence of stem bleeding contributed highly to the DAI, allowing differentiation between trees with AOD and COD syndromes. AOD trees had relatively larger stature and the presence of stem bleeding where as COD trees had small stature and stem bleeding was absent. The oak decline indexes are simple but sensitive measures of tree decline severity and allow easy comparisons of oak trees both spatially and temporally. These have the potential to provide useful tools for forest monitoring and management as well application to remote sensing and omics research.

Keywords

  • Acute Oak Decline, Chronic Oak Decline, Decline spectrum, Machine learning, Phenotyping, Random forest, Unsupervised learning

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